{"id":5923,"date":"2026-11-03T12:14:50","date_gmt":"2026-11-03T11:14:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/winsider.sk\/?p=5923"},"modified":"2026-11-03T12:14:50","modified_gmt":"2026-11-03T11:14:50","slug":"niekto-poznal-poradie-zlatej-lopty-vopred-anonymne-ucty-na-polymarkete-zarobili-takmer-200-tisic-dolarov","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/winsider.sk\/index.php\/2026\/11\/03\/niekto-poznal-poradie-zlatej-lopty-vopred-anonymne-ucty-na-polymarkete-zarobili-takmer-200-tisic-dolarov\/","title":{"rendered":"Niekto poznal poradie Zlatej lopty vopred? Anonymn\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dty na Polymarkete zarobili takmer 200-tis\u00edc dol\u00e1rov"},"content":{"rendered":"

Organiz\u00e1tori najprest\u00ed\u017enej\u0161ej futbalovej ankety Zlat\u00e1 lopta (Ballon d’Or) pripravuj\u00fa trestn\u00e9 ozn\u00e1menie. D\u00f4vodom je skupina anonymn\u00fdch \u00fa\u010dtov na predik\u010dnom trhu Polymarket, ktor\u00e1 presne trafila poradie prvej p\u00e4\u0165ky hr\u00e1\u010dov a pod\u013ea anal\u00fdzy transakci\u00ed zarobila takmer 200-tis\u00edc dol\u00e1rov. Vydavate\u013esk\u00fd dom Groupe Amaury, ktor\u00fd vlastn\u00ed \u010dasopis France Football a anketu organizuje, v sobotu 31. okt\u00f3bra ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee preveruje, \u010di d\u00f4vern\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky hlasovania neunikli e\u0161te pred sl\u00e1vnostn\u00fdm vyhl\u00e1sen\u00edm 26. okt\u00f3bra v Lond\u00fdne. O pr\u00edpade bola pod\u013ea britsk\u00e9ho denn\u00edka The Guardian informovan\u00e1 aj franc\u00fazska pol\u00edcia.<\/p>\n

Na pr\u00edpade z\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed viac, ne\u017e nazna\u010duje samotn\u00e1 suma. Zlat\u00e1 lopta je ocenenie, ktor\u00e9ho v\u00fdsledok poznaj\u00fa pred cerem\u00f3niou len \u013eudia z naju\u017e\u0161ieho okruhu. Ak niekto z nich inform\u00e1ciu spe\u0148a\u017eil, ide o u\u010debnicov\u00fd pr\u00edklad obchodovania s d\u00f4vern\u00fdmi inform\u00e1ciami. Na finan\u010dn\u00fdch trhoch by sa za tak\u00e9 nie\u010do trestalo, no na predik\u010dn\u00fdch trhoch je pr\u00e1vne postavenie podobn\u00fdch obchodov ove\u013ea menej jasn\u00e9. Kauza tak otv\u00e1ra ot\u00e1zku, ktor\u00fa si \u0161portov\u00e9 organiz\u00e1cie doteraz kl\u00e1dli len m\u00e1lo. Ako chr\u00e1ni\u0165 v\u00fdsledok, ktor\u00fd u\u017e nie je iba prest\u00ed\u017enou z\u00e1le\u017eitos\u0165ou, ale aj predmetom st\u00e1vok?<\/p>\n

Prv\u00e1 na podozriv\u00fa aktivitu upozornila franc\u00fazska finan\u010dn\u00e1 redakcia Upside, a to 23. okt\u00f3bra, tri dni pred vyhl\u00e1sen\u00edm v\u00fdsledkov. Identifikovala dvan\u00e1s\u0165 \u00fa\u010dtov na Polymarkete, ktor\u00e9 spolu vsadili zhruba 264-tis\u00edc dol\u00e1rov na poradie prv\u00fdch piatich miest. V\u0161etky vznikli medzi 1. a 20. okt\u00f3brom, teda kr\u00e1tko po uzavret\u00ed hlasovania. Sedem z nich nikdy nestavilo na ni\u010d in\u00e9 a \u0161es\u0165 za\u010dalo obchodova\u0165 do p\u00e4tn\u00e1stich min\u00fat od zalo\u017eenia. Tak\u00e9to spr\u00e1vanie je typick\u00fdm varovn\u00fdm sign\u00e1lom. Be\u017en\u00fd pou\u017e\u00edvate\u013e si \u00fa\u010det zvy\u010dajne zaklad\u00e1 z r\u00f4znych d\u00f4vodov a postupne sk\u00fa\u0161a viacero trhov, k\u00fdm jedno\u00fa\u010delov\u00fd \u00fa\u010det, ktor\u00fd okam\u017eite vsad\u00ed na jednu konkr\u00e9tnu udalos\u0165, nazna\u010duje, \u017ee jeho majite\u013e presne vie, \u010do chce.<\/p>\n

\"Pe\u0148a\u017en\u00e9<\/figure>\n

\u00da\u010dty tipovali rovnak\u00e9 poradie, hoci nie v\u0161etky obchodovali na v\u0161etk\u00fdch piatich poz\u00edci\u00e1ch. Jeden z nich, vystupuj\u00faci pod menom \u201ekraben006\u201c, stavil na ka\u017ed\u00e9 z piatich miest zvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165. V\u00fdsledok napokon priniesol historick\u00fd moment. Harry Kane z Bayernu Mn\u00edchov sa stal prv\u00fdm Angli\u010danom, ktor\u00fd z\u00edskal Zlat\u00fa loptu za posledn\u00fdch 25 rokov. Za n\u00edm sa umiestnili Franc\u00faz Kylian Mbapp\u00e9, \u0160panieli Lamine Yamal a Rodri a Argent\u00edn\u010dan Lionel Messi. Pr\u00e1ve presnos\u0165 celej p\u00e4\u0165ky, nielen v\u00ed\u0165aza, rob\u00ed pr\u00edpad podozriv\u00fdm. Trafi\u0165 favorita na prv\u00e9 miesto je pri dobrom preh\u013eade o futbale mo\u017en\u00e9, uh\u00e1dnu\u0165 bez chyby cel\u00e9 poradie je v\u0161ak ove\u013ea \u0165a\u017e\u0161ie.<\/p>\n

Blockchain ako stopa, ktor\u00fa nemo\u017eno zmaza\u0165<\/h2>\n

Polymarket funguje na blockchaine, teda na verejnej datab\u00e1ze transakci\u00ed, ktor\u00fa si m\u00f4\u017ee ktoko\u013evek prezrie\u0165. Predik\u010dn\u00fd trh je platforma, na ktorej si pou\u017e\u00edvatelia kupuj\u00fa a pred\u00e1vaj\u00fa podiely na v\u00fdsledku bud\u00facej udalosti, pri\u010dom cena podielu vyjadruje trhom odhadovan\u00fa pravdepodobnos\u0165. Ak pou\u017e\u00edvate\u013e k\u00fapi podiel lacno a udalos\u0165 nastane, inkasuje pln\u00fa hodnotu. Pr\u00e1ve preto sa na nepravdepodobn\u00fdch, presne \u0161pecifikovan\u00fdch v\u00fdsledkoch d\u00e1 s informa\u010dnou v\u00fdhodou zarobi\u0165 ve\u013ea. Verejn\u00e1 povaha blockchainu z\u00e1rove\u0148 umo\u017enila redakcii Upside sledova\u0165 tok pe\u0148az\u00ed. Pod\u013ea jej anal\u00fdzy na \u00fa\u010dty pri\u0161lo pribli\u017ene 309-tis\u00edc dol\u00e1rov a n\u00e1sledne z nich odi\u0161lo okolo 500-tis\u00edc dol\u00e1rov. Prv\u00fd v\u00fdber sa uskuto\u010dnil len 19 min\u00fat po vyhl\u00e1sen\u00ed v\u00fdsledkov.<\/p>\n

Anonymita na blockchaine v\u0161ak nie je \u00fapln\u00e1. Upside na\u0161la transakcie, ktor\u00e9 prep\u00e1jaj\u00fa viacer\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dty, hoci nedok\u00e1zala preuk\u00e1za\u0165, \u017ee v\u0161etk\u00fdch dvan\u00e1s\u0165 patr\u00ed jednej osobe. D\u00f4le\u017eitej\u0161ie je, \u017ee pe\u0148a\u017eenku spojen\u00fa s \u00fa\u010dtom kraben006 prepojila s franc\u00fazskou finan\u010dnou aplik\u00e1ciou Deblock. Tak\u00e9to slu\u017eby musia pri registr\u00e1cii overova\u0165 toto\u017enos\u0165 klientov pod\u013ea pravidiel proti praniu \u0161pinav\u00fdch pe\u0148az\u00ed. Ak pol\u00edcia z\u00edska pr\u00edstup k t\u00fdmto z\u00e1znamom, m\u00f4\u017ee sa od anonymnej adresy dosta\u0165 ku konkr\u00e9tnemu \u010dloveku. Pre vy\u0161etrovate\u013eov je to zrejme najs\u013eubnej\u0161ia stopa. Kryptoplatformy \u010dasto sl\u00fa\u017eia ako \u0161t\u00edt, no v bode, kde sa kryptomeny menia na be\u017en\u00e9 peniaze alebo prech\u00e1dzaj\u00fa cez regulovan\u00fa slu\u017ebu, zost\u00e1va identita zvy\u010dajne zachyten\u00e1.<\/p>\n

K\u013e\u00fa\u010dov\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka znie, kto mohol v\u00fdsledok pozna\u0165. Zlat\u00fa loptu ur\u010duje porota medzin\u00e1rodn\u00fdch novin\u00e1rov a v\u00fdsledky zost\u00e1vaj\u00fa tajn\u00e9 a\u017e do cerem\u00f3nie. B\u00fdval\u00fd \u0161\u00e9fredaktor France Football Pascal Ferr\u00e9 uviedol, \u017ee v\u00ed\u0165aza by vopred malo pozna\u0165 len nieko\u013eko \u013eud\u00ed. Okruh podozriv\u00fdch je teda teoreticky \u00fazky, prakticky v\u0161ak zah\u0155\u0148a viac \u013eud\u00ed, ne\u017e sa zd\u00e1. Hlasy mus\u00ed niekto zozbiera\u0165 a spo\u010d\u00edta\u0165, poradie treba pozna\u0165 pri pr\u00edprave cerem\u00f3nie, grafiky aj telev\u00edzneho prenosu a inform\u00e1cia sa m\u00f4\u017ee dosta\u0165 aj k osob\u00e1m z okolia ocenen\u00fdch hr\u00e1\u010dov. Ka\u017ed\u00fd tak\u00fdto \u010dl\u00e1nok re\u0165azca je potenci\u00e1lnym miestom \u00faniku.<\/p>\n

Treba z\u00e1rove\u0148 zd\u00f4razni\u0165, \u010do zatia\u013e preuk\u00e1zan\u00e9 nie je. \u00danik inform\u00e1ci\u00ed sa nepotvrdil a toto\u017enos\u0165 st\u00e1vkuj\u00facich zost\u00e1va nezn\u00e1ma. Ako upozor\u0148uj\u00fa aj samotn\u00ed vy\u0161etrovatelia, presn\u00e1 predpove\u010f sama osebe nie je pr\u00e1vnym d\u00f4kazom trestnej \u010dinnosti. Groupe Amaury vo vyhl\u00e1sen\u00ed pre denn\u00edk Le Parisien uviedol, \u017ee obvinenia z \u00faniku v\u00fdsledkov a mo\u017en\u00fdch podvodn\u00fdch st\u00e1vok berie v\u00e1\u017ene a vy\u0161etrovanie m\u00e1 zisti\u0165 fakty aj pr\u00edpadn\u00fa zodpovednos\u0165 konkr\u00e9tnych os\u00f4b. Ak by sa uk\u00e1zalo, \u017ee inform\u00e1ciu vyniesol niekto zo zamestnancov alebo spolupracovn\u00edkov, mohlo by \u00eds\u0165 o poru\u0161enie povinnosti ml\u010danlivosti \u010di o podvod. Konkr\u00e9tnu pr\u00e1vnu kvalifik\u00e1ciu v\u0161ak ur\u010dia a\u017e franc\u00fazske org\u00e1ny.<\/p>\n

Pre organiz\u00e1torov je v hre predov\u0161etk\u00fdm d\u00f4veryhodnos\u0165. Hodnota Zlatej lopty pre vydavate\u013ea, sponzorov aj telev\u00edzne partnerstv\u00e1 stoj\u00ed na presved\u010den\u00ed, \u017ee v\u00fdsledok je \u010dist\u00fd a tajn\u00fd a\u017e do poslednej chv\u00edle. Ak\u00e9ko\u013evek podozrenie, \u017ee ho niekto poznal sk\u00f4r a obchodoval s n\u00edm, nahlod\u00e1va pr\u00e1ve t\u00fato hodnotu. Pre Polymarket a cel\u00e9 odvetvie predik\u010dn\u00fdch trhov je pr\u00edpad \u010fal\u0161\u00edm argumentom v ruk\u00e1ch kritikov. T\u00ed dlhodobo tvrdia, \u017ee trhy na udalosti s vopred zn\u00e1mym, no utajen\u00fdm v\u00fdsledkom, ako s\u00fa ocenenia \u010di ankety, priam vyz\u00fdvaj\u00fa zasv\u00e4ten\u00fdch, aby svoje znalosti spe\u0148a\u017eili. Z\u00e1stancovia predik\u010dn\u00fdch trhov naopak zvykn\u00fa argumentova\u0165, \u017ee pr\u00e1ve transparentnos\u0165 blockchainu umo\u017e\u0148uje podobn\u00e9 pr\u00edpady odhali\u0165 r\u00fdchlej\u0161ie ne\u017e pri klasick\u00fdch st\u00e1vkach, a t\u00e1to kauza im v istom zmysle d\u00e1va za pravdu. Podozrenie sa objavilo e\u0161te pred vyhl\u00e1sen\u00edm v\u00fdsledkov a odhalila ho novin\u00e1rska anal\u00fdza verejn\u00fdch d\u00e1t.<\/p>\n

Rozdiel oproti licencovan\u00fdm st\u00e1vkov\u00fdm kancel\u00e1ri\u00e1m je napriek tomu podstatn\u00fd. Regulovan\u00ed oper\u00e1tori v Eur\u00f3pe musia overova\u0165 toto\u017enos\u0165 klientov, sledova\u0165 neobvykl\u00e9 vzorce st\u00e1vok a hl\u00e1si\u0165 podozrenia regul\u00e1torom aj \u0161portov\u00fdm zv\u00e4zom. Navy\u0161e m\u00f4\u017eu jednoducho odmietnu\u0165 pon\u00faka\u0165 trh, ktor\u00e9ho v\u00fdsledok pozn\u00e1 vopred \u00fazky okruh \u013eud\u00ed. Predik\u010dn\u00e9 platformy, ktor\u00e9 p\u00f4sobia bez n\u00e1rodnej licencie, tak\u00e9to povinnosti v rovnakej miere nemaj\u00fa.<\/p>\n

\u010eal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdvoj bude z\u00e1visie\u0165 najm\u00e4 od toho, \u010di franc\u00fazska pol\u00edcia z\u00edska z\u00e1znamy o overen\u00ed toto\u017enosti z aplik\u00e1cie Deblock a \u010di sa podar\u00ed prepoji\u0165 zvy\u0161n\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dty s konkr\u00e9tnymi osobami. Sledova\u0165 treba aj intern\u00e9 vy\u0161etrovanie Groupe Amaury, ktor\u00e9 m\u00f4\u017ee vies\u0165 k spr\u00edsneniu pravidiel nar\u00e1bania s v\u00fdsledkami hlasovania, napr\u00edklad k z\u00fa\u017eeniu okruhu \u013eud\u00ed s pr\u00edstupom k poradiu. Ot\u00e1zne zost\u00e1va, ako zareaguje samotn\u00fd Polymarket a \u010di bude ochotn\u00fd s vy\u0161etrovate\u013emi spolupracova\u0165. Ak sa \u00fanik potvrd\u00ed, kauza m\u00f4\u017ee prin\u00fati\u0165 organiz\u00e1torov \u010fal\u0161\u00edch ocenen\u00ed s tajn\u00fdm hlasovan\u00edm, aby za\u010dali chr\u00e1ni\u0165 svoje v\u00fdsledky podobne pr\u00edsne, ako firmy chr\u00e1nia neverejn\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00e9 \u00fadaje.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dvan\u00e1s\u0165 nov\u00fdch \u00fa\u010dtov na Polymarkete stavilo na presn\u00e9 poradie prvej p\u00e4\u0165ky Zlatej lopty a vybralo o takmer 200-tis\u00edc dol\u00e1rov viac, ne\u017e vlo\u017eilo. Vydavate\u013e France Football pripravuje trestn\u00e9 ozn\u00e1menie.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":5922,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[315,186,192,82,80,314],"class_list":["post-5923","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-kauzy","tag-france-football","tag-francuzsko","tag-integrita-sportu","tag-polymarket","tag-predikcne-trhy","tag-zlata-lopta"],"yoast_head":"\nNiekto poznal poradie Zlatej lopty vopred? 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