{"id":5802,"date":"2026-10-29T09:34:32","date_gmt":"2026-10-29T08:34:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/winsider.sk\/?p=5802"},"modified":"2026-10-29T09:34:32","modified_gmt":"2026-10-29T08:34:32","slug":"new-york-prijal-v-septembri-rekordnych-24-miliardy-dolarov-v-stavkach-predikcne-trhy-mu-zakaznikov-zatial-neberu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/winsider.sk\/index.php\/2026\/10\/29\/new-york-prijal-v-septembri-rekordnych-24-miliardy-dolarov-v-stavkach-predikcne-trhy-mu-zakaznikov-zatial-neberu\/","title":{"rendered":"New York prijal v septembri rekordn\u00fdch 2,4 miliardy dol\u00e1rov v st\u00e1vkach. Predik\u010dn\u00e9 trhy mu z\u00e1kazn\u00edkov zatia\u013e neber\u00fa"},"content":{"rendered":"

Hr\u00e1\u010di v New Yorku vsadili v septembri u licencovan\u00fdch online sportsbookov viac ako 2,4 miliardy dol\u00e1rov, pribli\u017ene 2,1 miliardy eur. Pod\u013ea \u00fadajov \u0161t\u00e1tnej Newyorskej komisie pre hazardn\u00e9 hry (New York State Gaming Commission) ide o rekord pre tento mesiac a o p\u00e4\u0165 percent viac ako vlani v septembri, teda takmer o 114 mili\u00f3nov dol\u00e1rov. \u010c\u00edslo prich\u00e1dza v \u010dase, ke\u010f americk\u00e9 kas\u00ednov\u00e9 a st\u00e1vkov\u00e9 lobby opakovane tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee feder\u00e1lne regulovan\u00e9 predik\u010dn\u00e9 trhy odl\u00e1kavaj\u00fa z\u00e1kazn\u00edkov z regulovan\u00e9ho trhu. Aspo\u0148 v najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161om st\u00e1vkovom \u0161t\u00e1te USA sa to v objeme st\u00e1vok zatia\u013e nepotvrdzuje.<\/p>\n

Septembrov\u00fd objem dokonca prekonal j\u00fan a j\u00fal, ke\u010f st\u00e1vky \u0165ahali z\u00e1pasy majstrovstiev sveta vo futbale. Od za\u010diatku roka 2026 vzr\u00e1stol objem st\u00e1vok v New Yorku o 3,7 percenta, \u010do znamen\u00e1 zhruba o 697 mili\u00f3nov dol\u00e1rov viac ne\u017e v rovnakom obdob\u00ed minul\u00e9ho roka. V prv\u00fdch \u0161iestich mesiacoch fi\u0161k\u00e1lneho roka 2026\/2027, ktor\u00fd sa v New Yorku za\u010d\u00edna v apr\u00edli, dosiahol objem takmer 12,6 miliardy dol\u00e1rov a medziro\u010dne st\u00fapol o 6,9 percenta. Pre debatu o bud\u00facnosti americk\u00fdch st\u00e1vok s\u00fa to d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00e9 d\u00e1ta, preto\u017ee New York je najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00edm trhom spomedzi 39 \u0161t\u00e1tov, kde s\u00fa \u0161portov\u00e9 st\u00e1vky leg\u00e1lne.<\/p>\n

Spor o predik\u010dn\u00e9 trhy sa v USA vyostril od konca roka 2025. Predik\u010dn\u00e9 trhy s\u00fa platformy, na ktor\u00fdch \u013eudia obchoduj\u00fa zmluvy viazan\u00e9 na v\u00fdsledok udalosti, napr\u00edklad z\u00e1pasu, a doh\u013ead nad nimi nevykon\u00e1vaj\u00fa \u0161t\u00e1tni regul\u00e1tori hazardu, ale feder\u00e1lna komisia pre obchodovanie s komoditn\u00fdmi deriv\u00e1tmi (CFTC). Prev\u00e1dzkovatelia tak m\u00f4\u017eu pon\u00faka\u0165 \u0161portov\u00e9 kontrakty celo\u0161t\u00e1tne bez \u0161t\u00e1tnych licenci\u00ed a bez \u0161t\u00e1tnych dan\u00ed z hazardu. Samy platformy odmietaj\u00fa, \u017ee by i\u0161lo o st\u00e1vkovanie, a argumentuj\u00fa, \u017ee pou\u017e\u00edvatelia obchoduj\u00fa proti sebe navz\u00e1jom, nie proti st\u00e1vkovej kancel\u00e1rii.<\/p>\n

\"Objem<\/figure>\n

Americk\u00e1 hern\u00e1 asoci\u00e1cia (American Gaming Association, AGA), ktor\u00e1 zastupuje kas\u00ednov\u00fd a st\u00e1vkov\u00fd priemysel, to vid\u00ed opa\u010dne. Pod\u013ea nej predik\u010dn\u00e9 platformy pon\u00fakaj\u00fa neleg\u00e1lne \u0161portov\u00e9 st\u00e1vky mimo \u0161t\u00e1tnych a kme\u0148ov\u00fdch regula\u010dn\u00fdch r\u00e1mcov, obch\u00e1dzaj\u00fa ochranu spotrebite\u013ea a vyh\u00fdbaj\u00fa sa licenci\u00e1m aj daniam. Na svojom webe asoci\u00e1cia zobrazuje po\u010d\u00edtadlo odhadovan\u00fdch str\u00e1t \u0161t\u00e1tnych da\u0148ov\u00fdch pr\u00edjmov, ktor\u00e9 sa bl\u00ed\u017ei k 1,6 miliardy dol\u00e1rov. Tieto peniaze by pod\u013ea AGA mohli \u00eds\u0165 na \u0161koly, nemocnice \u010di infra\u0161trukt\u00faru. \u201ePredik\u010dn\u00e9 trhy neprispievaj\u00fa ni\u010d\u00edm,\u201c uviedla asoci\u00e1cia.<\/p>\n

New York patr\u00ed medzi \u0161t\u00e1ty, ktor\u00e9 proti predik\u010dn\u00fdm trhom vystupuj\u00fa najostrej\u0161ie. Gener\u00e1lna prokur\u00e1torka \u0161t\u00e1tu vo febru\u00e1ri varovala, \u017ee tieto platformy funguj\u00fa mimo miestnych pravidiel a ch\u00fdbaj\u00fa im ochrann\u00e9 mechanizmy povinn\u00e9 pre licencovan\u00fdch oper\u00e1torov. \u0160t\u00e1t ned\u00e1vno podal \u017ealoby proti spolo\u010dnostiam Coinbase Financial Markets a Gemini Titan. Licencovan\u00ed oper\u00e1tori maj\u00fa pritom d\u00f4vod br\u00e1ni\u0165 svoje poz\u00edcie ve\u013emi tvrdo. Na newyorskom trhu p\u00f4sob\u00ed dev\u00e4\u0165 licencovan\u00fdch platforiem, konkr\u00e9tne FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars Sportsbook, Fanatics, BetRivers, theScore, Bally Bet a Resorts World Bet. Ak by k rovnak\u00fdm z\u00e1kazn\u00edkom mohli bez licenci\u00ed a \u0161t\u00e1tnych dan\u00ed pr\u00eds\u0165 aj konkurenti s feder\u00e1lnym povolen\u00edm, ekonomika licencie by sa v\u00fdrazne zmenila.<\/p>\n

Rekordn\u00e9 st\u00e1vky, no ni\u017e\u0161ie zisky<\/h2>\n

Rekordn\u00fd objem v\u0161ak neznamen\u00e1 rekordn\u00e9 zisky. Za \u0161es\u0165 mesiacov od apr\u00edla klesli hrub\u00e9 hern\u00e9 pr\u00edjmy newyorsk\u00fdch sportsbookov o 5,8 percenta na 1,1 miliardy dol\u00e1rov. Hrub\u00e9 hern\u00e9 pr\u00edjmy s\u00fa suma, ktor\u00e1 oper\u00e1torovi zostane po vyplaten\u00ed v\u00fdhier. D\u00f4vodom poklesu bolo, \u017ee hr\u00e1\u010dom sa darilo lep\u0161ie. Priemern\u00e1 mar\u017ea (hold), teda podiel st\u00e1vok, ktor\u00fd si st\u00e1vkov\u00e1 kancel\u00e1ria ponech\u00e1, klesla z 10 na 8,8 percenta. Samotn\u00fd september priniesol online sportsbookom hrub\u00e9 pr\u00edjmy 159 mili\u00f3nov dol\u00e1rov a \u010dist\u00e9 pr\u00edjmy platforiem klesli oproti augustu o 4,9 percenta na 78 mili\u00f3nov dol\u00e1rov.<\/p>\n

Toto rozl\u00ed\u0161enie je pre debatu o predik\u010dn\u00fdch trhoch k\u013e\u00fa\u010dov\u00e9. Objem st\u00e1vok ukazuje dopyt hr\u00e1\u010dov, a ten v New Yorku rastie. Pokles ziskovosti sa naopak d\u00e1 vysvetli\u0165 v\u00fdsledkami z\u00e1pasov, nie odlivom klientov. Mar\u017ea \u0161portov\u00fdch st\u00e1vok kol\u00ed\u0161e pod\u013ea toho, ako dopadn\u00fa ob\u013e\u00faben\u00e9 t\u00edmy a kombinovan\u00e9 tikety, a jeden zl\u00fd polrok pre oper\u00e1torov e\u0161te nie je trendom. Pre \u0161t\u00e1tny rozpo\u010det je to v\u0161ak cite\u013en\u00e9, preto\u017ee da\u0148 sa po\u010d\u00edta z hrub\u00fdch hern\u00fdch pr\u00edjmov, nie z objemu st\u00e1vok.<\/p>\n

Aj tak treba by\u0165 pri z\u00e1veroch opatrn\u00fd. Rast v New Yorku dokazuje, \u017ee predik\u010dn\u00e9 trhy regulovan\u00fd trh zatia\u013e nezastavili, ale nedokazuje, \u017ee mu ni\u010d neber\u00fa. Nikto nevie, ak\u00fd by bol rast bez nich. Obraz za cel\u00e9 USA navy\u0161e nie je jednotn\u00fd. V Illinois, druhom najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161om st\u00e1vkovom \u0161t\u00e1te, dosiahol online objem st\u00e1vok na profesion\u00e1lny a univerzitn\u00fd \u0161port do konca augusta 9,3 miliardy dol\u00e1rov, o 5,7 percenta viac ako vlani, ke\u010f to bolo 8,8 miliardy. V susednom New Jersey v\u0161ak objem do septembra klesol o 4,1 percenta z 8,6 na 8,3 miliardy dol\u00e1rov. Z\u00e1stancovia te\u00f3rie o odlive z\u00e1kazn\u00edkov tak maj\u00fa k dispoz\u00edcii aspo\u0148 jeden ve\u013ek\u00fd trh, ktor\u00fd ich tvrdenie podporuje, hoci pokles m\u00f4\u017ee ma\u0165 aj in\u00e9 pr\u00ed\u010diny, napr\u00edklad vyspelos\u0165 trhu a siln\u00fa konkurenciu susedn\u00fdch \u0161t\u00e1tov.<\/p>\n

Zauj\u00edmav\u00fd poh\u013ead pon\u00faka analytik banky Citizens Jordan Bender. Pod\u013ea jeho spr\u00e1vy m\u00f4\u017eu predik\u010dn\u00e9 trhy s regulovan\u00fdmi sportsbookmi koexistova\u0165 a agres\u00edvny marketing predik\u010dn\u00fdch platforiem m\u00f4\u017ee k \u0161portov\u00fdm st\u00e1vkam dokonca priv\u00e1dza\u0165 nov\u00fdch \u013eud\u00ed. Ak by mal pravdu, predik\u010dn\u00e9 trhy by fungovali sk\u00f4r ako vstupn\u00e1 br\u00e1na, ktor\u00e1 roz\u0161iruje cel\u00fd trh, ne\u017e ako priamy konkurent. Ve\u013ek\u00e9 st\u00e1vkov\u00e9 kancel\u00e1rie si navy\u0161e napriek rastu predik\u010dn\u00fdch trhov pod\u013ea v\u0161etk\u00e9ho udr\u017eiavaj\u00fa popularitu.<\/p>\n

Na v\u00ed\u0165azov a porazen\u00fdch sa preto d\u00e1 pozrie\u0165 vrstvene. Licencovan\u00ed oper\u00e1tori v New Yorku zatia\u013e nestr\u00e1caj\u00fa hr\u00e1\u010dov, ale str\u00e1caj\u00fa na mar\u017ei. \u0160t\u00e1t vyber\u00e1 menej, ne\u017e by zodpovedalo rastu objemu, a z jeho poh\u013eadu je ka\u017ed\u00fd dol\u00e1r presunut\u00fd na predik\u010dn\u00e9 trhy dol\u00e1r bez dane. Predik\u010dn\u00e9 platformy profituj\u00fa z regula\u010dnej \u0161edej z\u00f3ny, no \u010delia \u010doraz v\u00e4\u010d\u0161iemu pr\u00e1vnemu tlaku.<\/p>\n

Aj na pozemn\u00fdch kas\u00ednach je vidie\u0165, \u017ee trh nie je jednoliaty. Newyorsk\u00e9 kamenn\u00e9 prev\u00e1dzky vyk\u00e1zali v septembri hrub\u00e9 hern\u00e9 pr\u00edjmy 184 mili\u00f3nov dol\u00e1rov, o sedem percent menej ako v auguste. Retailov\u00e9 \u0161portov\u00e9 st\u00e1vky v kas\u00ednach s\u00edce vzr\u00e1stli na 4,4 mili\u00f3na dol\u00e1rov z dvoch mili\u00f3nov v auguste, pokles v ostatn\u00fdch segmentoch to v\u0161ak nevyv\u00e1\u017eilo.<\/p>\n

Najbli\u017e\u0161ie mesiace uk\u00e1\u017eu, \u010di septembrov\u00fd rekord nebol len jednorazov\u00fdm v\u00fdkyvom. K\u013e\u00fa\u010dov\u00e9 bud\u00fa \u00fadaje za okt\u00f3ber a november, ke\u010f vrchol\u00ed sez\u00f3na americk\u00e9ho futbalu. Rovnako d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00e9 bude, ako sa vyvin\u00fa \u017ealoby New Yorku proti Coinbase a Geminimu a \u010di sa \u010fal\u0161\u00edm \u0161t\u00e1tom podar\u00ed vytla\u010di\u0165 \u0161portov\u00e9 kontrakty zo svojho \u00fazemia. Ak s\u00fady potvrdia pr\u00e1vomoc \u0161t\u00e1tov, debata o odlive z\u00e1kazn\u00edkov sa m\u00f4\u017ee skon\u010di\u0165 sk\u00f4r, ne\u017e ju d\u00e1ta jednozna\u010dne rozhodn\u00fa. Ak sa presad\u00ed feder\u00e1lny v\u00fdklad, New York bude musie\u0165 dok\u00e1za\u0165, \u017ee jeho regulovan\u00fd trh obstoj\u00ed aj v otvorenej konkurencii.<\/p>\n

Hazardn\u00e9 hry s\u00fa ur\u010den\u00e9 v\u00fdhradne osob\u00e1m star\u0161\u00edm ako 18 rokov. Hrajte zodpovedne.<\/small><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00ed americk\u00fd st\u00e1vkov\u00fd trh m\u00e1 za sebou najsilnej\u0161\u00ed september v hist\u00f3rii. Tvrdenie, \u017ee predik\u010dn\u00e9 trhy vys\u00e1vaj\u00fa regulovan\u00e9 sportsbooky, tak str\u00e1ca na sile. Oper\u00e1tori v\u0161ak zar\u00e1baj\u00fa menej.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":5801,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[199,103,80,78,104,81],"class_list":["post-5802","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-sportove-stavkovanie","tag-aga","tag-new-york","tag-predikcne-trhy","tag-regulacia","tag-sportove-stavky","tag-usa"],"yoast_head":"\nNew York prijal v septembri rekordn\u00fdch 2,4 miliardy dol\u00e1rov v st\u00e1vkach. Predik\u010dn\u00e9 trhy mu z\u00e1kazn\u00edkov zatia\u013e neber\u00fa - ONLINE MAGAZ\u00cdN<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/winsider.sk\/index.php\/2026\/10\/29\/new-york-prijal-v-septembri-rekordnych-24-miliardy-dolarov-v-stavkach-predikcne-trhy-mu-zakaznikov-zatial-neberu\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sk_SK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"New York prijal v septembri rekordn\u00fdch 2,4 miliardy dol\u00e1rov v st\u00e1vkach. Predik\u010dn\u00e9 trhy mu z\u00e1kazn\u00edkov zatia\u013e neber\u00fa - ONLINE MAGAZ\u00cdN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00ed americk\u00fd st\u00e1vkov\u00fd trh m\u00e1 za sebou najsilnej\u0161\u00ed september v hist\u00f3rii. 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